Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, KCOP-13·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Canucks
to win
64%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors ANA.439vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA-.225vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors ANA-.089vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors ANA-1.04vs.0075v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).