New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues
TV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Islanders
to win
56%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.488vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL-.069vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI.078vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors STL-.034vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersIslanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYI Peter DeBoer · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7925th
- Goals for / game
- 24th2.80
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 16.5%30th
- Power play
- 26th17.6%
- 80.8%10th
- Penalty kill
- 25th76.7%
- 52.6%5th
- Faceoffs
- 19th49.4%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).