St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders
TV STLNHL, BN+·UBS Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Blues
to win
51%
Islanders
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.503vs.488win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL.049vs-.0695v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI-.058vs.078GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors STL.114vs-.0345v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYINYI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Islanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · NYI Peter DeBoer
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8024th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 17.6%26th
- Power play
- 30th16.5%
- 76.7%25th
- Penalty kill
- 10th80.8%
- 49.4%19th
- Faceoffs
- 5th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).