Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken
TV Prime Video, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
54%Golden Knights
to win
46%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.050vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.821vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · SEA Lane Lambert
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).