Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights
TV Prime Video, KONG·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
32%Kraken
to win
68%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.5–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 20%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.476vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK-.088vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.072vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
- Back-to-backfavors SEASEA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · VGK Ryan Craig
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).