San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, NBCSCA·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Sharks
to win
57%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors ANA.479vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA-.114vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors ANA-.137vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SJS.077vs.0075v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).