Sharks at Ducks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Sharks at Ducks

San Jose Sharks(39-35-8)

Anaheim Ducks(43-33-6)

Wed, Nov 25, 10:00 PM ESTTV Prime Video, NBCSCA·Honda Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons

42%

Sharks

to win

58%

Ducks

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors ANA
.479vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA
-.114vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors ANA
-.137vs-.049GSAx / 60
Home icefavors ANA
ANA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/60
43% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/60
36% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/60
20% to start63 career GP

Ducks

Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/60
49% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/60
32% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/60
18% to start151 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · ANA Joel Quenneville

Leaders

vs

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.0417th
Goals for / game: 13th3.23; 3.5430th
Goals against / game: 29th3.51; 21.2%16th
Power play: 23rd18.6%; 76.4%26th
Penalty kill: 27th76.4%; 47.8%26th
Faceoffs: 25th48.0%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 25@this game
Mar 22@
Mar 24@
Apr 10@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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