Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks
TV SN, SN1·Rogers Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
61%Oilers
to win
39%
Canucks
- Expected goals
- 3.3–2.7
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.504vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM.037vs-.089GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors EDM.475vs-1.045v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors VANVAN at home
- Back-to-backfavors EDMEDM and VAN played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Canucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · VAN Manny Malhotra
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).