Canucks at Oilers — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Canucks at Oilers

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Edmonton Oilers(41-30-11)

Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 PM ESTTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Our win probability

and the three reasons

37%

Canucks

to win

63%

Oilers

Expected goals: 2.6–3.4
Goes to overtime: 21%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM
.439vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM
-.225vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM
-.089vs.037GSAx / 60
Home icefavors EDM
EDM at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

Oilers

Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/60
50% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/60
42% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/60
8% to start39 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · EDM Mike Babcock

Leaders

vs

E. Pettersson
51
Points
C. McDavid
138
J. DeBrusk
23
Goals
C. McDavid
48
F. Hronek
41
Assists
C. McDavid
90

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.5630th
Goals for / game: 6th3.44; 3.8332nd
Goals against / game: 25th3.23; 21.8%14th
Power play: 1st30.6%; 71.5%32nd
Penalty kill: 20th77.8%; 49.3%22nd
Faceoffs: 6th52.6%

Season series

first meeting

Sep 29@
Oct 1@
Nov 7@this game
Mar 21@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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