St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames
TV STLNHL, BN+·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Blues
to win
54%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.503vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL.049vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY-.058vs.016GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors STL.114vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
- Back-to-backfavors STLSTL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).