Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues
TV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Flames
to win
58%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.481vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL-.127vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY.016vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors STL-.091vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors CGYCGY and STL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).