Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks
TV CARNHL, HHN·SAP Center at San Jose
Our win probability
and the three reasons
57%Hurricanes
to win
43%
Sharks
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.479win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.1145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CAR-.096vs-.137GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors SJSSJS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Sharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · SJS Ryan Warsofsky
Leaders
vs- Points
S. Aho80
M. Celebrini115 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 17th3.04
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 30th3.54
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 16th21.2%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 26th76.4%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 26th47.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).