San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Sharks
to win
64%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.479vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR-.114vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CAR-.137vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115
S. Aho80 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0417th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 3.5430th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 21.2%16th
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 76.4%26th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 47.8%26th
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).