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Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth

TV Utah16, NBCSP·Delta Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons
PHI45%
Flyers
to win
55%UTA
Mammoth
Expected goals
PHI 2.9–3.1 UTA
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors PHIfavors UTA →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA
    .495vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
    .009vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signaleven
    .010vs.030GSAx / 60
  • Projected lineupsfavors PHI
    .465vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
  • Home icefavors UTA
    UTA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
PHIFlyers
UTAMammoth

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · UTA André Tourigny

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
PHIUTA
2.9321st
Goals for / game
10th3.27
2.919th
Goals against / game
10th2.93
15.7%32nd
Power play
18th20.0%
77.6%22nd
Penalty kill
19th78.1%
49.5%18th
Faceoffs
23rd49.2%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).