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Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers

TV Utah16, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons
UTA47%
Mammoth
to win
53%PHI
Flyers
Expected goals
UTA 2.9–3.1 PHI
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors UTAfavors PHI →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA
    .500vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
    .093vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signaleven
    .030vs.010GSAx / 60
  • Projected lineupsfavors PHI
    .397vs.4655v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
  • Home icefavors PHI
    PHI at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
UTAMammoth
PHIFlyers

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · PHI Rick Tocchet

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
UTAPHI
3.2710th
Goals for / game
21st2.93
2.9310th
Goals against / game
9th2.91
20.0%18th
Power play
32nd15.7%
78.1%19th
Penalty kill
22nd77.6%
49.2%23rd
Faceoffs
18th49.5%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).