Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins
TV NESN, SNW·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
35%Flames
to win
65%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.481vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BOS-.127vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.016vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS-.091vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
- Back-to-backfavors CGYCGY played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5432nd
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.1221st
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 16.2%31st
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 80.4%12th
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 49.3%21st
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).