Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Canadian Tire Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Wild
to win
57%
Senators
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.511vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT.010vs.1075v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors OTT-.090vs-.066GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors OTT.331vs.6095v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors OTTOTT at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Senators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · OTT Travis Green
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 8th3.35
- 2.874th
- Goals against / game
- 13th2.99
- 25.2%3rd
- Power play
- 8th24.0%
- 79.8%16th
- Penalty kill
- 29th75.7%
- 46.6%30th
- Faceoffs
- 2nd54.5%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).