New York Rangers at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, MSG·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Rangers
to win
57%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.476vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.057vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR.114vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.330vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYR Mike Sullivan · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8723rd
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.0415th
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 24.7%5th
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 79.9%15th
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 54.5%1st
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).