Utah Mammoth at New York Rangers
TV Utah16, MSG·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Mammoth
to win
55%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.500vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.093vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR.030vs.114GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.397vs.3305v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
- Back-to-backfavors UTAUTA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 23rd2.87
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 15th3.04
- 20.0%18th
- Power play
- 5th24.7%
- 78.1%19th
- Penalty kill
- 15th79.9%
- 49.2%23rd
- Faceoffs
- 1st54.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).