Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers
TV ESPN, SN·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
60%Golden Knights
to win
40%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 3.3–2.7
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR-.050vs.112GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
- Back-to-backfavors VGKNYR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · NYR Mike Sullivan
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).