Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets
TV SNW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Flames
to win
57%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WPG.481vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG-.127vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG.016vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors WPG-.091vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).