Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames
TV SNW, TSN3·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Jets
to win
50%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WPG.491vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG-.048vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG.117vs.016GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).