Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators
TV Prime Video, KONG·Canadian Tire Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Kraken
to win
60%
Senators
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors OTT.476vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT-.088vs.1075v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.072vs-.066GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors OTTOTT at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
Senators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · OTT Travis Green
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).