Senators at Kraken — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Senators at Kraken

Ottawa Senators(44-27-11)

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Wed, Feb 17, 9:40 PM ESTTV Prime Video, KING·Climate Pledge Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

51%

Senators

to win

49%

Kraken

Expected goals: 3.0–3.0
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors OTT
.515vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT
.107vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signaleven
-.066vs-.072GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors SEA
.609vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors SEA
SEA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Senators

Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/60
62% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/60
38% to start143 career GP

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: OTT Travis Green · SEA Lane Lambert

Leaders

vs

T. Stützle
83
Points
J. Eberle
55
T. Stützle
34
Goals
B. McMann
29
T. Stützle
49
Assists
V. Dunn
33

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.358th
Goals for / game: 28th2.73; 2.9913th
Goals against / game: 23rd3.13; 24.0%8th
Power play: 20th19.5%; 75.7%29th
Penalty kill: 31st72.2%; 54.5%2nd
Faceoffs: 27th47.7%

Season series

first meeting

Feb 17@this game
Mar 6@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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