Seattle Kraken at Montréal Canadiens
TV Prime Video, KONG·Centre Bell
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Kraken
to win
60%
Canadiens
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.476vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signaleven-.088vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL-.072vs.129GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.724vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors MTLMTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors SEASEA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
Canadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · MTL Martin St. Louis
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7328th
- Goals for / game
- 7th3.40
- 3.1323rd
- Goals against / game
- 16th3.06
- 19.5%20th
- Power play
- 10th23.1%
- 72.2%31st
- Penalty kill
- 18th78.2%
- 47.7%27th
- Faceoffs
- 11th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).