Montréal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken
TV Prime Video, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Canadiens
to win
52%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signaleven-.072vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.431vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · SEA Lane Lambert
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.407th
- Goals for / game
- 28th2.73
- 3.0616th
- Goals against / game
- 23rd3.13
- 23.1%10th
- Power play
- 20th19.5%
- 78.2%18th
- Penalty kill
- 31st72.2%
- 51.0%11th
- Faceoffs
- 27th47.7%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).