Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers
TV NBCSP, SCRIPPS·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Golden Knights
to win
47%
Flyers
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI-.050vs.010GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK1.03vs.4655v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PHIPHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Flyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · PHI Rick Tocchet
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).