Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings
TV ABTV , TSN2·Crypto.com Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Canadiens
to win
55%
Kings
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.489win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK-.072vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs.035GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors LAKLAK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Kings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · LAK Peter Laviolette
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.407th
- Goals for / game
- 29th2.68
- 3.0616th
- Goals against / game
- 7th2.90
- 23.1%10th
- Power play
- 28th17.0%
- 78.2%18th
- Penalty kill
- 30th74.6%
- 51.0%11th
- Faceoffs
- 17th49.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).