Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens
TV ABTV , SN+·Centre Bell
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Kings
to win
52%
Canadiens
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.489vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK.038vs-.0725v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.035vs.129GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors LAK.626vs.4315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors MTLMTL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
Canadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: LAK Peter Laviolette · MTL Martin St. Louis
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.6829th
- Goals for / game
- 7th3.40
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 16th3.06
- 17.0%28th
- Power play
- 10th23.1%
- 74.6%30th
- Penalty kill
- 18th78.2%
- 49.8%17th
- Faceoffs
- 11th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).