Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, Prime·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Flames
to win
61%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.481vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.127vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.016vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA-.091vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).