Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames
TV Utah16, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Mammoth
to win
51%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.500vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.093vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.030vs.016GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.397vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
- Back-to-backfavors UTAUTA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
M. Frost22 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).