New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes
TV TNT, truTV·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
34%Rangers
to win
66%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.5–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.476vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR-.057vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR.112vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
- Back-to-backfavors NYRNYR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYR Mike Sullivan · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).