Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers
TV CARNHL, HHN·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Hurricanes
to win
53%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR-.096vs.112GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
- Back-to-backfavors CARCAR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).