Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers
TV NESN, SNP·Rogers Place
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Bruins
to win
56%
Oilers
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.503vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM-.058vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.201vs.037GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors EDMEDM at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
Oilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BOS Marco Sturm · EDM Mike Babcock
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 6th3.44
- 3.0114th
- Goals against / game
- 25th3.23
- 23.4%9th
- Power play
- 1st30.6%
- 77.0%24th
- Penalty kill
- 20th77.8%
- 53.1%4th
- Faceoffs
- 6th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).