Edmonton Oilers at Boston Bruins
TV NESN, Prime·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Oilers
to win
51%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.504vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.037vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.446th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.2325th
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 30.6%1st
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 77.8%20th
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 52.6%6th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).