Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks
TV SN-PIT, SNP·Rogers Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Penguins
to win
52%
Canucks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.510vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT.036vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VAN-.237vs-.089GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors VANVAN at home
- Back-to-backfavors PITPIT played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersPenguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
Canucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PIT Dan Muse · VAN Manny Malhotra
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).