Canucks at Penguins — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Canucks at Penguins

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Pittsburgh Penguins(41-25-16)

Sat, Jan 23, 7:00 PM ESTTV SN-PIT, SNP·PPG Paints Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

33%

Canucks

to win

67%

Penguins

Expected goals: 2.5–3.5
Goes to overtime: 20%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT
.439vs.510win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT
-.225vs.0365v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VAN
-.089vs-.237GSAx / 60
Home icefavors PIT
PIT at home
Back-to-backfavors VAN
VAN played yesterday

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

Penguins

Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/60
91% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/60
9% to start5 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · PIT Dan Muse

Leaders

vs

E. Pettersson
51
Points
S. Crosby
74
J. DeBrusk
23
Goals
B. Rust
29
F. Hronek
41
Assists
E. Karlsson
51

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.5630th
Goals for / game: 3rd3.54; 3.8332nd
Goals against / game: 24th3.15; 21.8%14th
Power play: 7th24.1%; 71.5%32nd
Penalty kill: 6th81.4%; 49.3%22nd
Faceoffs: 24th48.2%

Season series

first meeting

Jan 23@this game
Feb 16@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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