Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken
TV Prime Video, SN-PIT·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Penguins
to win
50%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.510vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT.036vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors SEA-.237vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersPenguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PIT Dan Muse · SEA Lane Lambert
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.543rd
- Goals for / game
- 28th2.73
- 3.1524th
- Goals against / game
- 23rd3.13
- 24.1%7th
- Power play
- 20th19.5%
- 81.4%6th
- Penalty kill
- 31st72.2%
- 48.2%24th
- Faceoffs
- 27th47.7%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).