Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins
TV Prime Video, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Kraken
to win
58%
Penguins
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.476vs.510win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT-.088vs.0365v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors SEA-.072vs-.237GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PIT.724vs1.115v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PITPIT at home
- Back-to-backfavors SEASEA and PIT played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
Penguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · PIT Dan Muse
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7328th
- Goals for / game
- 3rd3.54
- 3.1323rd
- Goals against / game
- 24th3.15
- 19.5%20th
- Power play
- 7th24.1%
- 72.2%31st
- Penalty kill
- 6th81.4%
- 47.7%27th
- Faceoffs
- 24th48.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).