Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals
TV Utah16, MNMT·Capital One Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Mammoth
to win
48%
Capitals
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.500vs.516win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.093vs.0135v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.030vs.169GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.397vs.3555v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WSHWSH at home
- Back-to-backfavors UTAWSH played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
Capitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6059% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6041% to start175 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · WSH Spencer Carbery
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 15th3.18
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 7th2.90
- 20.0%18th
- Power play
- 25th17.8%
- 78.1%19th
- Penalty kill
- 14th80.1%
- 49.2%23rd
- Faceoffs
- 20th49.3%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).