Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, MNMT·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Capitals
to win
54%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.013vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.165vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.355vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · UTA André Tourigny
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.1815th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 17.8%25th
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 80.1%14th
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 49.3%20th
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).