Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames
TV SCRIPPS, SN+·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
59%Golden Knights
to win
41%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 3.3–2.7
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY-.050vs.016GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK1.03vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).