Canucks at Stars — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Canucks at Stars

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Dallas Stars(50-20-12)

Thu, Jan 28, 8:00 PM ESTTV KDFW 4, Prime Video·American Airlines Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons

32%

Canucks

to win

68%

Stars

Expected goals: 2.4–3.6
Goes to overtime: 20%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL
.439vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL
-.225vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL
-.089vs.109GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors DAL
-1.04vs.3905v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors DAL
DAL at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

Stars

Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/60
65% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/60
35% to start225 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · DAL Glen Gulutzan

Leaders

vs

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.5630th
Goals for / game: 9th3.33; 3.8332nd
Goals against / game: 2nd2.71; 21.8%14th
Power play: 2nd28.6%; 71.5%32nd
Penalty kill: 13th80.3%; 49.3%22nd
Faceoffs: 7th51.6%

Season series

first meeting

Dec 5@
Jan 28@this game
Feb 23@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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