Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Grand Casino Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Canucks
to win
61%
Wild
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.439vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN-.225vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.089vs-.090GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MIN-1.04vs.3315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors MINMIN at home
- Back-to-backfavors VANMIN played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Wild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · MIN John Hynes
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).