Wild at Canucks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Wild at Canucks

Minnesota Wild(46-24-12)

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 PM EDTTV MINNHL, Wild+·Rogers Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

49%

Wild

to win

51%

Canucks

Expected goals: 3.0–3.0
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN
.511vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN
.010vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signaleven
-.090vs-.089GSAx / 60
Home icefavors VAN
VAN at home
Back-to-backfavors MIN
MIN played yesterday

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Wild

Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/60
60% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/60
40% to start50 career GP

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: MIN John Hynes · VAN Manny Malhotra

Leaders

vs

K. Kaprizov
89
Points
E. Pettersson
51
K. Kaprizov
45
Goals
J. DeBrusk
23
Q. Hughes
69
Assists
F. Hronek
41

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 30th2.56; 2.874th
Goals against / game: 32nd3.83; 25.2%3rd
Power play: 14th21.8%; 79.8%16th
Penalty kill: 32nd71.5%; 46.6%30th
Faceoffs: 22nd49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 25@this game
Nov 21@
Jan 26@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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