Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators
TV CARNHL, HHN·Canadian Tire Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Hurricanes
to win
51%
Senators
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.515win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs.1075v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors OTT-.096vs-.066GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.860vs.6095v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors OTTOTT at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Senators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · OTT Travis Green
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).