Buffalo Sabres at Winnipeg Jets
TV MSG-B, TSN3·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Sabres
to win
48%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 3.1–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BUF.535vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BUF.045vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG-.006vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BUF.725vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSabres
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-0.03 GSAx/6052% to start196 career GP
Alex Lyon+0.03 GSAx/6041% to start163 career GP
Colten Ellis-0.08 GSAx/607% to start16 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BUF Lindy Ruff · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.455th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 21st3.12
- 19.5%21st
- Power play
- 24th18.5%
- 81.9%4th
- Penalty kill
- 21st77.6%
- 45.9%32nd
- Faceoffs
- 9th51.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).