Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights
TV NESN, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Bruins
to win
59%
Golden Knights
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.503vs.514win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK-.058vs.1545v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.201vs-.050GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors VGKVGK at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
Golden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BOS Marco Sturm · VGK Ryan Craig
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 14th3.22
- 3.0114th
- Goals against / game
- 12th2.95
- 23.4%9th
- Power play
- 6th24.6%
- 77.0%24th
- Penalty kill
- 7th81.4%
- 53.1%4th
- Faceoffs
- 12th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).