Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins
TV NESN, SCRIPPS·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Golden Knights
to win
48%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.050vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2214th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.9512th
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 24.6%6th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 81.4%7th
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 51.0%12th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).