Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Golden Knights
to win
60%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.514vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors VGK-.050vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
- Back-to-backfavors VGKVGK played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2214th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 2.9512th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 24.6%6th
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 81.4%7th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 51.0%12th
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).